The Pandemic and the Emerging Markets Crisis: How Fragile are the Economies?

June 11th, 2020|Comments Off on The Pandemic and the Emerging Markets Crisis: How Fragile are the Economies?

Utku Demir and Merih Uctum 
June 11, 2020

The Emerging Market (EM) economies that came out of the 2008 financial crisis relatively faster than advanced economies are hard hit by a quadruple-whammy this time: the pandemic, capital outflows, economic recession, and debt crisis.Read more

Unconventional Monetary Policies Become Conventional After All?

October 21st, 2019|Comments Off on Unconventional Monetary Policies Become Conventional After All?

Fotios Siokis
October 21, 2019

What are unconventional monetary policies? How are they implemented in the European Union? What does the future look like? In this article we address these questions. On September 12,2019, the President of the European Central Bank (ECB) announced a new monetary stimulus package... Read more

Trump’s Trade Quagmire

August 30th, 2019|Comments Off on Trump’s Trade Quagmire

Paul Krugman
August 30, 2019

Remember the Vietnam quagmire? In political discourse, “quagmire” has come to have a quite specific meaning. It’s what happens when a government has committed itself to a policy that isn’t working but can’t bring itself to admit failure and cut its losses.Read more

U.S. – China Trade Conflict: Impacts on China

July 23rd, 2019|Comments Off on U.S. – China Trade Conflict: Impacts on China

Zhuo Xi
July 23, 2019

Starting from the different positions held by the Trump administration and the Chinese government on issues such as the bilateral trade balance, market access, and intellectual property transfers, China and the U.S., the world’s two largest economies, have been quarreling over trade for more than a year. Read more

The Sword of Damocles (Part II): The Precariousness of the Greek Banking System during the Great Sovereign Debt Crisis

March 4th, 2019|Comments Off on The Sword of Damocles (Part II): The Precariousness of the Greek Banking System during the Great Sovereign Debt Crisis

Fotios Siokis
March 04, 2019

With the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 and the transmission of the crisis to world financial markets, financial liquidity started to drain and investors’ confidence began to deteriorate. Central banks around the globe initiated unprecedented expansions of their liquidity... Read more

The Sword of Damocles (Part I): The Precariousness of the Greek Banking System During the Great Sovereign Debt Crisis

February 19th, 2019|Comments Off on The Sword of Damocles (Part I): The Precariousness of the Greek Banking System During the Great Sovereign Debt Crisis

Fotios Siokis
February 19, 2019

The Greek economy appears finally to have turned the corner with the Government’s announcement, in August 2018, that the country has exited its third bailout package. This article examines the role of banks in the recovery and the debt crisis. Read more

Argentina’s Latest Crisis

November 16th, 2018|Comments Off on Argentina’s Latest Crisis

Meng-Ting Chen and Joseph van der Naald
November 16, 2018

Following a stunning fall in the value of its peso, a total loss of nearly 50% for 2018, and interest rates hitting 60%, Argentina’s economy appeared to be facing the strong likelihood of a crisis. While the government responded by taking a number of measures... Read more

The Turkish Currency and Debt Crises

September 22nd, 2018|Comments Off on The Turkish Currency and Debt Crises

Merih Uctum and Zhuo Xi
September 22, 2018

On August 9 the Turkish currency, the Lira, hit record lows and rattled emerging markets. The travails of the Argentinian economy subsequently weakened the Lira further. In this analysis article, we examine the economic and financial reasons behind the turmoil... Read more

A Primer on Rules of Origin in NAFTA Negotiations and What Is Next

December 31st, 2017|Comments Off on A Primer on Rules of Origin in NAFTA Negotiations and What Is Next

Richard J Nugent III
December 22, 2017

The latest round of negotiations of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) on November 21 ended with no major breakthroughs on contentious issues such as autos, dairy and rules of origin among others. The US administration’s demand that at least half of a NAFTA-qualifying vehicle... Read more

Greek Debt in Historical Perspective: An Opinion Article

November 22nd, 2017|Comments Off on Greek Debt in Historical Perspective: An Opinion Article

Anthony Rodolakis
November 22, 2017

Current fiscal proposals are projected to lead to a sizeable increase in U.S. debt and while people point to the Greek crisis to warn about high debt, a closer look at Greece’s debt history reveals few similarities. Modern Greek economic history is a history of debt. Read more

Federal Funds Rate Hike and Sovereign Risk in Latin America

September 1st, 2017|Comments Off on Federal Funds Rate Hike and Sovereign Risk in Latin America

Miguel Acosta-Henao
August 31, 2017

The Fed has started increasing the federal funds rate, reversing its decade long accommodative monetary policy.  The last time such a reversal in the Fed policy occurred, the impact on emerging markets in Latin America was deleterious. This article examines if history will repeat itself. Read more

A Finger Exercise on Hyperglobalization

July 12th, 2017|Comments Off on A Finger Exercise on Hyperglobalization

Paul Krugman
July 11, 2017

The days when surging world trade was the big story seem like a long time ago. For one thing, trade has stopped surging, and seems to have plateaued. For another, we have faced more pressing issues, like financial crisis. Read more

The United States, Mexico, and NAFTA

June 29th, 2017|Comments Off on The United States, Mexico, and NAFTA

The Economic Studies Group
June 28, 2017

The terms of current and proposed U.S. trade agreements are getting renewed attention as to their impacts on the U.S. economy and workforce. Recently, U.S. trade with Mexico has become a particular focus for reconsideration as trade between the two countries has grown remarkably since... Read more

A Primer on Brexit

January 7th, 2017|0 Comments

Merih Uctum
December 20, 2016

In a referendum on June 23, 2016 Britain voted to leave the European single market paving the way to further turmoil in Europe. This note summarizes why this happened and the implications for Britain when it pulls out. Read more